Starting Everett (or feeling comfortable about it) shouldnt hinge on Allens availability (he's already been ruled out). What a way to cap Week 1 of the fantasy football season. Now, Kaylor has turned his attention to Chargers vs. Chiefs on Thursday Night Football Week 1 and locked in his top daily Fantasy football picks. 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We should expect to see Ekeler get his carries and be heavily involved in the passing game with Keenan Allen dealing with a hamstring injury, which is nice in full-point PPR formats. Compare odds here Between the short week, offensive injuries, and competitiveness of two teams that are very familiar with each other look for the under trend to continue between these two teams. However, Palmer and DeAndre Carter split the slot role at three targets apiece. If the NFC East race is as tight as it was last season in December, this Thursday Night encounter could be a deciding factor on which team wins the NFC East crown. Plus, he only had 16 receiving yards on the day. Jordan Love has no leverage for a trade request. Mecole Hardman earned a healthy six targets. * 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Weve analyzed each teams highest-probability game scripts to assess the most likely outcomes, including which players are in line to thrive more than anticipated or fall short of expectations. It is difficult to look into last week with the Cowboys looking so bad, but from weeks 14-16, Pollard averaged 4.7 receptions on 6.0 targets per game. Vikings vs. Giants Wild Card Round DFS Picks: Lineup Includes Justin Jefferson, Daniel Jones, and the Unheralded Richie James, Bengals vs. Ravens Wild Card Weekend DFS Picks: Lineup Includes Joe Burrow, JaMarr Chase, Mark Andrews, and Isaiah Likely, Jaguars vs. Chargers Wild Card Round DFS Picks: Lineup Includes Travis Etienne Jr., Trevor Lawrence, and Austin Ekeler. Unfortunately, his performance last week might provide some false confidence heading into this matchup. Herbert also threw for more than 300 passing yards in nine games in 2021, and if this game flow goes as expected, he will likely have to do it again in order to bring the Chargers home a victory. Last Thursday night's game was an absolute barn-burner. Full transparency here: this is my least confident of the four Underdog Pickems, but I do still like it. Everetts 2.35 YPRR puts him comfortably in the top five, with half his targets coming while the Chargers were in scoring position. The Jets have been allowing a mere 15.3 fantasy points to the position over the second half of the season. Thursday Night Football Prediction Week 2. He has recorded 51+ rushing yards in each of his last eight postseason appearances. Will Keenan Allen play, and if so, how much? Top Underdog Pickems for Thursday Night Football, Justin Herbert lower than 38.5 pass attempts, Josh Palmer higher than 9.75 fantasy points, Jerick McKinnon higher than 17.5 receiving yards. Kaylor is also targeting another undervalued option that could explode for huge numbers for Thursday Night Football. Given that the Giants are underdogs in this game and could struggle to move the ball on the ground, I would expect them to be a bit pass heavier in this one and Saquon likely continues to be eased back in, especially on this short week. Hes thrown more than 38 passes in 15 of them. AZ, CO, CT, IL, IN, IA, KS, LA, (select parishes), MD, MI, NH, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY, CA-ONT only.Eligibility restrictions apply. And Carter was the more productive of the duo with downfield versatility. There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. Last week against the Raiders, Herbert threw the ball 34 times for 279 yards. It then compares the projected odds to the actual odds on FanDuel, identifying how much value youre getting on each wager. Greatest Fantasy Football RB Seasons of All-Time: Where Does McCaffrey Rank? It's a big week for the Browns, and a big week for injuries. He should be a key piece of the offense in this one. It was one of the best performances we saw in Week 1 and very encouraging for Mahomes in the post-Tyreek Hill era. Bakhtiari is a potential salary cap casualty this offseason, but hes much more likely to stick around with a restructure that could push off about $12 million in cap money into the future. His 10.0 aDOT aligns with where Allen typically operates. Zonovan Knight & Michael Carter (RB, NYJ). For Smith-Schuster to live up to $11K value in single-game contests, he probably has to score a touchdown since FanDuel does not give out bonuses for 100-yard performances, but he's certainly capable of a big game one way or another as the Chiefs' top wide receiver. The last time he had fewer than three fantasy points was in Week 8 last season against the Patriots (2.9 fantasy points). Kaylor has covered the NFL and college football for close to a decade as a member of the Pro Football Writers of America, and his background as a former college and NFL player gives him a unique perspective when building his fantasy lineups and locking in his betting picks. He also caught touchdowns in each of the two games he started, so the big-play potential is there. As a result, Derek Carr was 26th in EPA per play. The Giants gave up major production to the tight-end position last week as they allowed 10 receptions on 13 targets for 85 yards to the position. Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight, Austin Ekeler more than 19.5 points and Travis Kelce more than 17.5 fantasy points. Underdog Pickems allows fantasy managers to predict stat lines and fantasy point totals for almost all fantasy-relevant players. Its all still there, just with new (and more) faces. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! Recommended Chiefs vs. Chargers DFS Picks/Lineup. The Captain pick costs 1.5 times a player's original price, but he also gets his point total multiplied by 1.5. That being said, he will be relied upon heavily in a game that has a high total and figures to be very fast-based. His rushing attempts also dipped from 3.9 to 3.3 per game, so Prescott is relying on his arm more than his legs. McKinnon caught three passes for 27 yards last week. So we can envision the possibility of an offensive outburst from the running game and the passing game. Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Jets - 8:15 pm ET, Solid Starts for Fantasy Football Lineups, Flex Considerations for Fantasy Football Lineups, Consider Sitting for Fantasy Football Lineups, Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App, All jokes aside, we have a very interesting matchup this week. With the game in hand, Pacheco racked up 60 of his 62 yards as Edwards-Helaire took a seat, and McKinnon took a meaningless carry on their final drive. Over on the KC side of the ball, life without Tyreek Hill looked pretty easy. Now, this Jets team faces a defense that is allowing the fourth-most yards and most passing touchdowns per game since Week 8. His only downfall was being absent in the red zone, but we cant expect a similar scenario tonight. The Buccaneers held on to win the NFC South division despite finishing with a losing record. While never lacking in talent, we dont yet know if hell be the guy in this backfield or if, once again, the Chiefs will supplement his workload with strong secondary options. ', Jets reportedly interview former Broncos head coach Nathaniel Hackett for OC job. Pollard is much more involved in the aerial attack as his 9.9% target share ranks fifth on the team and is more than double Elliotts. Although we havent seen an explosive game from the young back since Week 9, he did manage over 125 yards last week. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight, Sterling Shepard, Kenny Golladay, and Logan Thomas to combine for more than 17.5 receptions. However, they did allow Amon-Ra St. Brown to have a decent game last week, giving me hope that Kirk can find success in the slot. Last week, Jerick McKinnon ran 18 routes and was targeted on four of them. Pair this with the fact that they are allowing the fewest passing TDs per game over that span and the fifth-fewest passing yards, and you have some worries about Lawrence. Now, this Jets team faces a defense that is allowing the fourth-most yards and most passing touchdowns per game since Week 8. When Allen missed time last season, it was Palmer who took over the coveted slot role for the Chargers. T&Cs apply. The young quarterback had an efficient performance last week against the Raiders, completing 26-of-34 passes for 279 yards and three touchdowns. You can make two picks that pay out 3x your entry fee or add more selections to your entry for higher payouts. While Im not projecting a negative game script for Patrick Mahomes & Co. this week, this will undoubtedly be a more competitive game. This week, he takes on a Jets team that is among the top of the league in all metrics, except against TEs. However, we just saw Wilson be functional in a plus matchup last week, hitting the 20 fantasy point mark against the Lions. After Elliotts injury, which caused him to miss weeks 8-10, Pollard averaged 38.7 snaps to Elliotts 34 per game from weeks 11-16. Austin Ekeler had a lackluster performance in Week 1 as he was only able to muster 11.2 fantasy points against the Raiders. With Keenan Allen (hamstring) out, Austin Ekeler and Mike Williams could see more targets for the Chargers on TNF, while Travis Kelce, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire all project to be impact NFL DFS picks for the Chiefs. Given Ekelers steep DFS price, he carries more risk than reward. This is a rematch from Week 1, where the Buccaneers won a 19-3 slugfest after Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott suffered an injury. Last weeks top fantasy WR, Zay Jones, and the WR10 on the season find themselves in the flex option section. Edwards-Helaire showed everybody in Week 1 that he's still the Chiefs' No. Its a team predicated on their rushing attack. In the Broncos vs. Seahawks Week 1 Monday Night Football matchup, Kaylor listed Denver wide receiver Jerry Jeudy as one of his top Showdown DFS picks. Ive watched and rewatched this throw more times than I care to admit. NFL DFS Picks Week 2: QB sleepers, values for DraftKings, FanDuel Baker Mayfield, Browns vs. Texans (DK price: $6,000 | FD: $7,100) We had Mayfield here last week Palmer is a decent bet to score a touchdown this week. However, Edwards-Helaire needs to be effective in the running game for the Chiefs to be able to hit the big passing plays. I believe Kansas City will focus more on Ekeler than any other LA playmaker, forcing Herbert to win through the air, especially if Allen sits or is limited. Welcome to the Week 2 of Thursday Night Football between the New York Giants and the Washington Football Team! Los Angeles was 30th in EPA per rush. Here are our As great as Justin Herbert is, can we trust him to post 200+ passing yards and 2+ TDs without his top receiver? For those who arent familiar,ScoresAndOdds recently released a new tool to set up same-game parlays on various sportsbookscalled Parlay IQ. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. Understanding Ceiling Projections for NFL DFS Tournaments NFL DFS Showdown: Lineup Optimizer Rules and My Favorite Angle in Chargers vs. Chiefs Steelers So who is Jimmie Kaylor including in his optimal NFL DFS lineups for Thursday Night Football? Wilson has had seven targets or more in each of his last four games and 75+ yards in each of them. As a result, I cant imagine relying on any Jets' RB option during such a massive week for fantasy. At the Captain spot, we will save a little bit of salary off the QBS with the selection of Ekeler. Mahomes deep-ball rate has steadily declined as hes seen more two-high coverages, but hell still swing for the fences when given the chance. The ATS result was a push (line closed at 14), while the under hit (40.5). Devin Singletary, RB, Bills -- "Two problems are at play: One, there's too much uncertainty in the Bills run game to count on Singletary to for-sure come through, and two, Plus, this Jaguars offense has found its groove and forces its opponents to pass. Thursday night in week two of the 2022 NFL season brings a tremendous matchup from one of the most intriguing divisions in football. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for details. section: | slug: nfl-dfs-thursday-night-football-picks-chiefs-vs-chargers-fantasy-lineup-advice-for-draftkings-fanduel | sport: football | route: article_single.us | Don't have an account? Chris Towers catches you up on all Im trying to keep my reactions from last week in check. All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. In a game that will likely be high-scoring, I'm projecting a floor of eight targets for Kelce on Thursday night." This week, we have the top-two picks in the 2021 draft going head-to-head. Somehow, their run blocking got worse. Week 2 of the NFL Season will begin on Thursday. [Watch Thursday Night Football on Prime Video: Sign up for a 30-day free trial]. 1 overall pick for 2023 fantasy football? The Week 2 NFL schedule opens with the first Thursday Night Football game of the season, with Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs hosting Justin Herbert and the He knew it was good before it got to Keenan Allens hands. It shouldnt be surprising that this was the best prop in the Parlay IQ tool at 72%. Devin Singletary, RB, Bills -- "Two problems are at play: One, there's too much uncertainty in the Bills run game to count on Singletary to for-sure come through, and two, there isn't much upside.View him as a low-end starter or a bye-week replacement at best. For reference, Mahomes had a 6.6 aDOT in similar conditions Sunday. Take UNDER 54.5 on Thursday night. Los Angeles will be looking for Herbert to get multiple players involved on Thursday night, including Mike Williams, who had a quiet Week 1. The Cowboys defense was much more susceptible against the run than the pass during the regular season. This pick could be the difference between winning your tournaments and cash games or going home with nothing. Marquez Valdes-Scantling will remain involved, and rookie Skyy Moore could quickly get more involved as the year goes on. Kansas City held James Conner to a 40.0% rushing success rate and he required a touchdown to save his day. We could expect that number to increase in this one, especially considering that Evan Engram is a strong candidate to miss this game on a short week. Since being drafted, one of these two has had to deal with a self-centered coach who has an In one lineup, Mahomes is joined by Travis Kelce ($14,000) and Skyy Moore ($6,500). I feel vindicated about Clyde Edwards-Helaire after Sunday. In those games, Palmer scored 15.1 and 12.8 half-PPR fantasy points, respectively. Stay tuned for more TNF betting odds and analysis next season. We can tell you that one of Kaylor's top NFL DFS picks for the Falcons-Panthers TNF matchup is Atlanta running back/wide receiver Cordarrelle Patterson. Each script assumes a Chiefs victory, led by Mahomes, who serves as our MVP at $17,000. Jovan Alford is a content producer at The Sporting News. Thursday Night Football FanDuel Picks: NFL DFS lineup advice for Week 2 Chargers-Chiefs single-game tournaments, Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers. Ohio sports betting is live, and theres no better place to make a Cowboys vs. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! Logan Thomas might be my favorite play in this game despite the fact he saw just three targets a week ago. At worst, Los Angeles was easing Everett into the offense. Even if you didnt make it, I have a Thursday night breakdown for you whether you are playing DFS, in a consolation bracket, or just trying to avoid last place. LIVE: Follow Chargers vs. Chiefs on 'Thursday Night Football'. Heading into Thursday night, we should not expect another five-touchdown outing from Mahomes, but 25-30 fantasy points is in play. The Chiefs are four Every day, get free NFL updates sent straight to your inbox! But his usage caught my eye as the Chiefs will need to use all their weapons to pull off a win tonight. Last week, C.J. After an exciting first week of the 2022 NFL season, Week 2 kicks off on Thursday night with an outstanding matchup between the Chargers and the Chiefs. Before we break down our TNF picks, here are the key scoring settings for DraftKings Showdown contests: They'refull-point PPR and there arethree-point bonuses for 300 passing yards, 100 rushing yards, and 100 receiving yards. And yet, we didnt see more work for the sophomore after Allen exited the game. But Ill be paying attention to a few things within the Chargers offense. Not only that, but Fournette has scored a touchdown in seven-straight postseason games. A hefty bill will come due at some point with a restructure, but the Packers can gain some financial flexibility for 2023 with a simple restructure of Aaron Jones contract. They are also fresh off a game where they allowed just 91 rushing yards on 25 carries to backs while also getting lit up through the air for 337 yards by Justin Herbert. This week, all we know is that both are going to be splitting limited work from Zach Wilson. Can, This week, he faces a Jaguars defense that is allowing the eighth-most fantasy points to the position since Week 8. Id wait another week for more clarity on Pachecos role moving forward. 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The following recommended fantasy football lineup (for tournaments, 50/50, or head-to-head competitions) aims to lock in a relatively high floor while maximizing upside. But he wasnt a one-person army. Id be happy with 12.2 points from a late-round player, too. Unsurprisingly, Hill earned the most targets of 20-plus air yards last year. This AFC West contest is loaded with talent on both teams, which makes putting together a FanDuel single-game DFS lineup challenging but fun. Palmer will have a bigger game on Thursday night after only posting three receptions (four targets) for five yards in Week 1.